Friday, April 16, 2010
Real Estate!!!
During periods of rising house prices, falling interest rates, and increasingly competitive and efficient refinancing markets, cash-out refinancing is like a ratchet, incrementally increasing homeowner debt as real-estate values appreciate without the ability to symmetrically decrease debt by increments as real-estate values decline. This paper suggests that systemic risk in the housing and mortgage markets can arise quite naturally from the confluence of these three apparently salutary economic trends. Using a numerical simulation of the U.S. mortgage market, the researchers show that the ratchet effect is capable of generating the magnitude of losses suffered by mortgage lenders during the recent financial crisis. These observations have important implications for risk management practices and regulatory reform. We should recognize both the risks and the advantages inherent in a robust credit industry. What all of this means for real estate investors who want to add to their portfolios is an increased opportunity to hunt for and find worthwhile bargains. I felt worthwhile while I bought a farm through Jacksonville NC Real Estate. It is always that a homeowner who has been unable to keep up with the mortgage payments often has also been unable to keep up with the maintenance of the property. So guys, be careful and make a articulate decision while investing.
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